By N. P. Upadhyaya Nepali,
Telegraphnepal.com
Kathmandu: As if in a disturbed Nepal, the
prevalence of dilemma of various sorts, some of which are of our own creations,
with a variety of shades and colors were not enough; one stickier situation has
gripped the country’s politics just the other day, Tuesday to be more precise,
June 19, 2012.
The new political episode is sure
to catapult the country’s political setting which may further polarize the
nation and its population in the days ahead. Such a schism may also encourage Nepal’s friends, near and far, to take their
preferred political sides which ultimately may facilitate Nepal’s fertile
soil to become the playground of foreign forces. Though symptoms of which are
already available.
Thanks that the new Chairman of
the freshly formed “Nepal Communist Party, Maoist”, Mohan Baidya
Kiran-Pokhrel, has, rather convinced,
that his party indeed will accomplish the unfinished tasks initiated by the
previous People’s War through a fresh uprising, however, he also guaranteed his
new colleagues and the population as well that for the time being insurgency as
such will not rock the nation.
This does mean that Baidya will take
some time to consolidate his party and may go in search for a suitable
“international friend” for the required financial and “moral” support that he
needs definitely.
But he talks of revolt? Should
this mean that his team is still in possession of the weapons? The Dang
military loot weapons? Is he indicating towards that?
These by extension mean that
while depositing the arms and weapons to the state some time back, the Nepal
Maoists submitted just a small portion of the total weapons then in their possession.
This is very dangerous.
And now this raises a very
pertinent question: Whether the current split is a calculated drama staged by
Dahal, Bhattarai and Baidya? The drama
in earnest right began, frankly speaking, from February 1996 which may have been
continuing with the fresh split of the party even. The rehearsal of the drama
definitely was practiced in New Delhi
in association with great Indian dramatists.
Though his new party will be
adored much by the strong nationalists if Baidya sticks to what he has been
talking about the Indian establishment and its encroachment in Nepali affairs.
He made several allegations on India while
talking to the press men, June 19, 2012.
Chances are fair that Baidya’s
party may also secure the secret help from all those former big-wigs who have
had been roughly humiliated and offended by the South Block in the recent
years. Some even preferred to enter into the local Kathmandu
jungles.
Unsubstantiated reports have it
that some strong nationalists now housed in Baidya’s party have already
approached this “special” sidelined group seeking both financial and moral
support. By implication, it could also mean to have been a vice versa affair.
However, the likelihood though remains high yet nothing concrete so far has
come to the surface which could substantiate this possibility.
Baidya takes such opinions as
“nonsense”.
Politics never though traverses
in a path which is a straight one and politics at times forces one to have
bizarre bed partners. This can’t be ignored given the circumstances that were
unfortunately brewing inside the Maoists party have had only this outcome or
else the party led by Chairman Prachanda would have exploded with a big bang
and torn into pieces.
Though yet another split, time
permitting, can’t be ruled out.
Now let’s talk of Baiadya’s
formation of a new party and its impact in this party of Himalayan Asia.
Needless to say, the hardliner
Naxals in India, and
Bangladesh Maoists and some in Afghanistan
(in whatever form they may have been at the moment) will receive a tremendous
energy with the sudden development in Nepal.
The hardcore Naxals’ though have
had secret links with the Mohan Baidya faction since long, more so after the
party was forced to enter the Nepal peace process around 2006 by NOIDA
veterans, but it took time for them to
convince Mohan Baidya faction to split the party and initiate armed revolt
against the old feudal elements both in India and Nepal, and accomplish the
unfinished task of the advent of a proletarian order.
Though a belated affair, Mohan
Baidya has split the party which yet remains to be authenticated as to which
force on earth may have actually encouraged Baidya’s hardliner team to opt for
a party split?
Is it the radical Naxals in India who have still been creating havoc across
the Indian Territory to have approached and
convinced Baidya? Or is it the Revolutionary International Movement, RIM, based
in the US which put its
entire strength in making the split a reality in Nepal? Or COMPOSA which is active
in South Asian countries?
Bob Awakin, to recall, is a US national who
is presumed to be the Chairman of the RIM paraphernalia. Interestingly, the US based RIM doesn’t create problems inside
US-the melting pot; however, it prefers to export radical communism in South Asia. Very interesting idea indeed.
High placed sources claim that
Mohan Baidya remains in close contact with the men of the RIM and COMPOSA both.
Some meeting with the men of the RIM is supposed to have taken place in Kathmandu in certain unknown locations prior to the party
split.
So is it an added headache for
the Indian establishment or an opportunity? Could be both.
Headache in the sense that if the
fresh Maoists splinter expands its relations with the Indian Naxals, which is
very much on the cards, then Arundhati Roy and her ilk will have greater
opportunities to pen several books on “The Growth of Naxalism in South Asia”.
Opportunity in the sense that
back in Nepal, with this
split, the strong Nepal Maoists, so far which had remained as the largest party
will weaken which is what India
desired for tooth and nail.
Now it remains yet to be seen as
to how the Indian Naxals and the RIM led by Awakin and the COMPOSA come to
extend their respective support to this newly born radical outfit in Nepal.
Their support will, if at all it takes a shape even in a secret manner, would
definitely change the very dynamics of the South Asian politics more so of
Nepal, our own country. Its impact in India will be very high expectedly.
Yet chances remain very high that
the RAW may enter through the backdoor inside this new party much similar the
way it twisted the Arms through grand seductions of the champions of People’s
War beginning 2004 through Ambassador Shyam Saran.
Mind it that Mr. Sanjiv Tripathi,
the RAW Chief was in town recently. The Baidya sponsored party split has taken
in and around his secret Nepal
visit. A mere conjecture only?
By extension, should we envision
that the party now led by Mohan Baidya will once again be used by the Indian establishment
as an “Indian card against Nepal”?
Tripathi perhaps knows more about this eventuality.
The possibility can’t be ruled
out.
Note: Breakaway parties though have a short life span. It has been
proved in Nepal.
Thus there is nothing very special to get overly excited. By the way, two special members of this new
Baidya team had recently visited Beijing.
To add insult to injury, one
Chinese Professor, Ma Jiali, has very freshly said while talking to the Nagrik daily that,
“The problem is that India
does not treat Nepal
equally”.
Is Chairman Baidya listening?
Does this speak of China’s increasing interests in Nepal of late?
Perhaps yes!
By and by, each and every communist movement in Nepal
begins targeting New Delhi’s highhandedness in
Nepali politics; however, the tentative “sponsored” drama ends right in Delhi under the mediation
of the ones whom the Nepali communists make the target.
Courtesy: Telegraphnepal.com
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