By N. P. Upadhyaya Nepali,
Telegraphnepal.com
Kathmandu: Many would not believe but high
placed informed citizenry opine that Nepal as a nation-state began taking a
definite slide right from the very day India forced the seven agitating parties
to sign the most ad nauseating 12 point agreement with the force of a
treaty, November 22, 2005.
The politics as it stands today could well be
said that it is nothing but the outcome of the unholy alliance of the so
called parliamentary parties with the radical communists now turned
capitalists. People’s War now has turned into a Money War, claim critics.
To recall, the then American Ambassador to
Nepal, James F. Moriarty had said , February 16, 2006, at a Hotel
Annapurna seminar ( it was either a Rotary or Jaycees gathering) that he
remains in a puzzled state in understanding the very content and the inner
design of the said 12 point agreement.
In fact he expressed his surprise over whether
the parliamentary parties had brought the radical Maoists to their fold, as was
being claimed by Girija and his Delhi trained cohorts, or the radicals forced
the former come to their terms?
Now as the things stand today, even a senile
person can analyse the events and openly claim that the then Delhi residing
Maoists, as per the US Ambassador,
instead had brought the parliamentary parties to function as per their
wishes and preferences after entering into the mainstream Nepali politics. The
climax is there for all to see. Moriarty was hundred percent correct.
This scribe had himself listened to what
Moriarty had stated on that very particular day of the Nepali parliamentary
parties and also those of the Maoists-then guests of South Block.
His assessment made then has come true. This by
implication means that till then the US was not feeling easy with the
parliamentary parties signing the India sponsored 12 point deal as he smelt rat
in the entire affair which has now taken a shape which is what had been desired
by the ones who drafted the agreement in Hindi language later translated into
Nepali for Kathmandu consumption. It was a pencil written draft, if fact.
This once again by extension unfolds the then
existing reality that the US Ambassador was favouring the King as the US policy
had been and will remain perhaps so for long time to come (but now conditions
apply) and, as the US envoy told personally told this scribe( during tea
session), that(sic), “Your King tells me every time I meet him that he will
hand over his entire authority to the parliamentary parties well within three
months time…however, those three months will perhaps never come”.
This way Ambassador Moriarty expressed his
pain. His pain also contained the subtle message that he was not at all happy
with the parliamentary parties signing the dangerous deal as he had guessed in
advance that the agreement will completely go in favour of the radical Maoists.
If the US was siding with the King and was
against the parties signing the Delhi deal then what distanced the US with the
King?
Is it the same three months time? Perhaps yes!
More is yet to come.
A pretty annoyed US envoy then slowly began
talking against the ruling monarch to the extent that at the fag end of the so
called people’s Uprising-II, he even made a very uncommon and dirty remarks
against the Nepal King for which he was summoned by the Nepalese Foreign
Ministry to clarify his fiery statement made against the King.
Perhaps this was the height of the US insult
which catapulted the entire politics. Ambassador Moriarty then began increasing
his private talks with the Indian Foreign Secretary Shyam Saran who wanted the
King to come to the foot path sooner than later.
Saran must have taken an oath in the name of
God that he will dismantle the Royal institution once and for all when he was
not allowed to enter the dining table instead the King enjoyed the luncheon at
the palace with Dr. Karan Singh. Dr.
Singh was here as the special emissary of Man Mohan Singh, the de facto Prime
Minister of India.
That was unfair by all
Nepali manners.
The US annoyance was simply in a heightened
state as Moriarty who was in knowledge that Indian Foreign Secretary was flying
to Beijing, early February 2006, to convince the Chinese authorities but yet he
did not intervene into the matter because by this time an insulted US envoy too
wanted to teach a befitting lesson to the unyielding Nepali monarch. India received the desired Beijing nod.
Delhi-Beijing and Washington came in one single axis to do away with Nepali
royalty. It was afterwards a collective
affair.
Later things went as per the Indian half-cooked
design and the net results of which, after seven years, are with the Nepalese
people, good or bad whatever it is. But can it be said well? Should the
Nepalese still hope for a New Nepal as promised by ‘imposed’ 12 point?
Yet what could be said of the US envoy is that
he had tentatively made a logical comment. His claims made then have been
justified. Those who brought the Maoists from New Delhi’s hospitality after
signing the 2005 Nepal-India Treaty (with twelve articles) have begun
feeling the brunt associated with the radical Maoist music.
PM Bhattarai is not in a mood to resign nor
there is a provision that allows the President to sack him all of a sudden. Yet
the President is being encouraged to sack Bhattarai. If he does so then he will
do it at his own peril. Finance Minister Pun has already stated that the office
of Nepal Presidency too has become constitutionally vacant after the CA demise.
This perhaps speaks of the Maoists mood.
In the mean time, a new power and prestige
tussle has begun in between the PMO and the President’s office. This is very
dangerous.
The frightening of it all is the fresh
formation of a Federal Alliance under the Chairmanship of Chairman Dahal.
The opposition parties have assailed the
formation of this Front as they see that this alliance may ultimately split the
country into two equal halves. Disintegration of the nation was inevitable,
they claim. Underground Communist leader, Mohan Bikram Singh claims that Nepal
will split for sure if the country adopts federal order. ( See
opinion).
The NC and the UML have just been watching the
highhandedness of the ruling coalition, as they have begun feeling the NOIDA
heat.
Worst of it all is that this Federal Alliance
has come into existence close on the heels of China airing its suggestion to
Nepal not to go in for a federal system of governance.
Ai Ping is on record to have said to the Nepali
leaders’ right here in Kathmandu during his fresh trip that Federal system for
Nepal bodes ill. More so, Mohan Baidya, the Chairman of a new
Maoists party while in his trip to Beijing was convinced not to embrace a
federal order. Baidya now talks less on having federal order.
But ignoring the Chinese suggestions, the
federal Alliance has already come into existence which means that a competing
rival China lobby must have been there in encouraging the federalists to go
ahead minimising what Beijing suggested.
Now it has become a matter of prestige for China.
She has only two options: to let Nepal go its own preferred way or she
forcefully intervene into the current Nepali politics caring little of the net
results. China must come to a decision at the earliest. Beijing is perhaps
mulling on how to face this Nepali challenge.
All in all, the existing politics must have
been carefully analysed by the Nepal Army. Nepal has now a much disciplined and
well informed Chief of the Army Staff-Mr. Gaurav S. Rana who
must have been receiving information of his own country’s worsened politics
each minute.
President too remains in a disturbed state so
is PM Bhattarai. Dr. Yadav has time and again hinted PM to go
by consensus. PM says let the parties in the opposing camp take such an
initiative. Tussle is in a heightened situation.
Champions of federal order have got a new
strength after the formation of the Alliance. These events if
woven in a single string give an impression that Nepal is inching towards a
fierce civil war. A strong force doesn’t seem in sight which could avert the
largely looming threat to the nation. Nepal Army is the last hope if and when a
calamity befalls upon the nation. Military institution is now the lone saviour,
analysts presume.
Attention new CoAS Mr. Rana! Nation counts now on you and your highly
professional institution only. After all the nation-state must be saved from
the likely situation of a civil war. Prepare yourself for a Himalayan role
( not the military rule albeit) that may approach you sooner than later. Let
the situation not turn from bad to worse. The eyes of the entire national
population are now centered towards Bhadrakali Head Quarters. That’s
all.
Courtesy: Telegraphnepal.com
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